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Think-tanks predict Budget silence on NHS can’t last |
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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt delivered his first full Budget on Wednesday. He argued the economic forecast wasn’t quite as bad as it had been, made some interventions on childcare and innovation, and found money to hold down fuel duty and raise lifetime pension pot ceilings – which might encourage some senior consultants to stay in the NHS (full Budget speech on gov.uk). The Budget had little else to say about public services, which were dealt with in his emergency Autumn Statement last year (Highland Marketing analysis). But as strikes and pay talks continued, think-tanks predicted this position would not hold.
Matthew Taylor, chief executive of the NHS Confederation, pointed out that the NHS has been funded for a pay rise of 3.5% next year, but if rumours of a 5% deal are true, it will have a “budget hole of anything up to £2 billion” that the government will have to fill or see filled by cuts to patient services. Taylor also noted that the Budget dodged the publication of the long-promised NHS workforce plan, addressing an estates maintenance backlog that has reached £10.2 billion, and the urgent need to set budgets for social care and public health for the new financial year. |
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